Supercomputer predicts Premier League top four race after Chelsea

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Supercomputer predicts Premier League top four race after Chelsea & Man City slip up

  • Man City and Chelsea dropped more points in fiercely competitive top four race
  • Nottingham Forest are opening up a healthy buffer in third place
  • Brighton & Hove Albion are the form team and well in the hunt too

The Premier League takes in its final breath by ushering in the first international break of 2025, with a frantic run-in on the horizon.

With Liverpool 12 points clear at the summit and the newly promoted clubs declining in competitiveness by the game, it’s become abundantly clear where the pressure points lie down the stretch.

The race for Europe is hotly competitive. Just five points separate fourth and tenth after the weekend’s action, which saw Chelsea and Manchester City both drop points again.

Here’s how Opta’s supercomputer is projecting the top-four dogfight to play out with just nine games of the 2024/25 Premier League season remaining.

Predicted 2024/25 Premier League table – top half

PositionTeamExpected pointsChances of top four/Champions League (%)
1.Liverpool89.43100
2.Arsenal76.7599.82
3.Nottingham Forest67.8470.21
4.Man City66.0258.44
5.Newcastle63.9530.44
6.Chelsea63.3427.37
7.Brighton60.738.32
8.Aston Villa58.523.02
9.Bournemouth57.471.68
10.Fulham55.630.56

After losing out to La Liga and โปรโมชั่นพิเศษจาก UFABET สมัครตอนนี้ รับโบนัสทันที Serie A last season. The Premier League are well on track to earning an extra qualifying spot for the 2025/26 Champions League. Thus, the top five likely to progress into Europe’s premier club competition. Newcastle’s Carabao Cup success on Sunday means there’s still a chance as many as 11 English clubs enjoy continental ventures next term.

Liverpool and Arsenal are as good as assured of their places in the top four.

While Nottingham Forest have opened up a healthy buffer after claiming back-to-back wins. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are now four and five points clear of Chelsea and Man City respectively. As a result, Opta rates Forest’s chances of returning to Europe’s top table for the first time since 1980/81 at 70.21%.